The global artificial intelligence investment boom is expected to drive the fastest expansion in merchandise trade since the global financial crisis, according to new forecasts released by the World Trade Organization on October 8, 2026. The growth reflects rising demand for technology-related products and equipment as businesses and economies continue investing in artificial intelligence infrastructure. However, the expected expansion is not being shared equally across the world. The World Trade Organization warned that a relatively small number of economies are driving much of the growth, leaving significant parts of the global economy with fewer benefits from the increase in trade. Asian exports are expected to play a major role, with the organization forecasting growth of 9% this year, followed by 5.2% next year. The outlook highlights Asia’s importance in supplying goods connected to the expanding technology sector. Meanwhile, global trade in services is expected to grow more slowly than previously anticipated. The ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran has contributed to a less favorable outlook for services trade, according to the report.
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